Monday, 30 October 2023

Time zone activism

 

Long time readers may know from several posts over the years that I am quite keen on British Summer Time and not such a fan on Greenwich Mean Time. I was therefore delighted to accept an invitation to appear on BBC Politics South East to make thee case for year-round daylight savings time.

You can see the interview from 11 minutes 30 seconds here.

I was also pleased with this...




Friday, 27 October 2023

Road traffic accidents: another minimum pricing fail


 
Five 'public health' academics, including Niamh Fitzgerald, studied what happened to road traffic accidents (RTAs) after minimum pricing for alcohol came into effect in May 2018. As their study published last week shows, it didn't go well for them.
 
In Scotland, MUP implementation was associated with 40.5% (95% confidence interval: 15.5%, 65.4%) and 11.4% (−1.1%, 24.0%) increases in fatal and nighttime RTAs, respectively.
 
Yes, you read that correctly. There was a 40% increase in fatal road traffic accidents. The wins just keep coming, don't they?
 
 
Did minimum pricing cause the increase in fatal RTAs? Probably not, in my opinion, although the authors propose one plausible mechanism.
 
The increase in fatal RTAs could have multiple explanations, such as some qualitative evidence that MUP led people to switch from consuming strong beers and ciders to drinking spirits and getting more intoxicated.
 
The authors downplay the finding and instead settle for the inarguable conclusion that minimum pricing didn't reduce road traffic accidents. 

Overall, we found no evidence that the introduction of MUP could be associated with reductions in the RTAs most likely to be alcohol-related in Scotland for the first 20 months of its implementation. This may be in contrast with the economic theory suggesting a decrease in alcohol-related RTAs as a consequence of an increase in alcohol price (that had already led to a reduction in alcohol consumption in the population).
 
It may indeed!
 
Regular readers will be able to predict what comes next...
 
Overall, we found no difference in night-time RTAs and a transient increase in fatal RTAs.
 
Say the line, Bart!
 
One explanation for the lack of decrease is that the floor price of £0.50 could have been too low to generate such an effect with visible repercussions on drink-driving/pedestrian road safety and then in RTAs. 

The medicine's not working. More medicine!


Wednesday, 25 October 2023

The farce of the COVID-19 enquiry

I watched a day of the COVID-19 enquiry hearings last week, God help me. I've written about it for The Critic.
 

The COVID-19 inquiry is a colossal waste of money. Not only will it never establish the truth about what happened in 2020-21, it is going out of its way to falsify the historical record to cover the backs of the public health establishment. It is a kangaroo court rewriting the recent past to paint flawed scientists in the most flattering light at the expense of the then-government.

Do read.



Friday, 13 October 2023

Classic Guardian

I've written about a particularly absurd Guardian article for The Critic. The article is about ultra-processed food so it was bound to be a target rich environment but there are so many sentences that are beyond parody that I couldn't fit them all into my article. Here are some of the ones I left out.
 

Not all UPFs trigger addiction. Sweets and salty snacks, which are designed for pleasure (and therefore profit), are more likely to be addictive than, say, plant milks and meat alternatives, which are also ultra-processed but are designed for a purpose, in this case replacing animal products.

Don’t underestimate convenience: “If I had to make my own chocolate or pizza, I probably wouldn’t eat it that often,” says Gearhardt.

In this way, packaged biscuits are similar to cigarettes. No, really. “Processed tobacco leaves have been available for hundreds of years for people to make their own addictive tobacco products,” the researchers say. “However, the invention of the cigarette roller in the 1880s to mass-produce cigarettes … contributed to a more than 1,000% increase in cigarette smoking.”

 
Yeah, no one smoked until the 1880s. Ever heard of pipes? 

A third driver of addiction could be the additives in UPFs. Again, there is a parallel with cigarettes, which often contain additives such as sugar, cocoa, menthol and salt to improve flavour and increase brand loyalty.

 
So that's the reason cigarettes are addictive. Salt! 

I ask Gearhardt if she has completely eliminated UPFs from her diet. “No! I’m drinking a glass of wine as we speak!”


What?
 
And there are some even better ones in my article.


Thursday, 12 October 2023

Kids are buying illegal vapes illegally

As the government opens an eight week public consultation on vaping and smoking regulation, the BBC runs a story about a 12 year old girl who was supposedly hospitalised as a result of vaping.
 

Never start vaping, says 12-year-old girl with lung damage

A 12-year-old girl who suffered a lung collapse and spent four days in an induced coma has told the BBC that children should never start vaping.

Sarah Griffin had asthma and was a heavy vaper when she was rushed to hospital with breathing problems a month ago.


There is always a frustrating lack of detail in articles such as this. There are a lot of vapers in Britain, but very few cases of lungs collapsing as a result, even among children. You don't need to read between the lines too much to see that there may be more to this than meets the eye. 

Sarah's asthma and the fact she was not good at using her preventative inhaler left her at risk of complications.

In early September she also developed a head cold, and when combined with her vaping, it all added up to what Sarah's doctor describes as a "perfect storm".

 
Make of that what you will. The BBC doesn't hammer the point home, but she was also using illegal, unregulated vapes that often contain chemicals that have been banned for health reasons.

Sarah had started vaping when she was just nine.

Her mum Mary tried to stop her - searching her when she came home, confiscating her phone - but nothing worked.

By the summer, Sarah was getting through a 4,000-puff vape (a regulation vape contains 600 puffs) in just a few days.

 
She was also buying these illegal vapes from shops at an age at which she was nowhere near old enough to do so.
 

Even though it's illegal to sell vapes to anyone under the age of 18, Sarah bought vapes over the counter and became addicted to the nicotine hit.

 
So once again, we see laws being blatantly flouted. Children are being illegally sold e-cigarettes and the e-cigarettes themselves are illegal. How about we start enforcing the laws that already exist before making new ones?


Last Orders with Patrick O'Flynn

The new episode of Last Orders (with a new sponsor!) was recorded the day before Sunak announced tobacco prohibition, but we had a fair idea that he would do so. Have a listen.



Tuesday, 10 October 2023

Will the UK stand up to the World Health Organisation?

The WHO has its biennial tobacco shindig next month. COP10 will be held in Panama and I'll be joining some mischief-makers there to report back. 

The WHO's approach to vaping is diametrically opposed to that of the UK so it is a mystery why we continue to give this corrupt outfit so much money. This year's COP (conference of the parties) seems to be all about e-cigarettes, none of it good, but according to The Sun, there is a chance that the UK might stand up for vapers.
 

MINISTERS will stand up to hardline global health chiefs next month to defend our “world-leading” swap-to-stop free vapes scheme.

The World Health Organisation will call for COP10 countries to clamp down harder or even ban e-cigarettes, which it calls “harmful to health and not safe”.

But England this year launched the world’s first government scheme to offer free vapes to smokers to help them kick the killer habit.

Now the UK delegation will reject policies that jeopardise our revolutionary programme – instead offering advice to nations that want to follow our lead.

A major review recently found e-cigarettes are one of the best ways to ditch fags – with a 14 per cent quit rate compared to nine per cent for nicotine patches or gum.

Tory MP Craig Whittaker said: “It is essential that at COP10 we stand up for our record and policies as a world leader on tobacco harm reduction.

 
The story doesn't have a quote from a minister, although it does quote something public health minister Neil O'Brien said a few months ago.
 

A government source said other countries can do what they want and the UK “will continue to share our experience of our approach to vaping”.

Health Minister Neil O’Brien said: “The delegation will not agree to any decisions which would impact on our ability to make vapes available for smokers who wish to quit.”

 
It also includes a quote from me.
 

Chris Snowdon, of the Institute of Economic Affairs, said: “The WHO’s unscientific and fanatical opposition to e-cigarettes is a threat to global health. 

“The UK has an opportunity to make a difference at the Panama conference by vetoing any anti-vaping proposal. 

“British taxpayers give too much money to the WHO to be bossed around by a fundamentally corrupt and incompetent organisation.”

 
Like other countries, the UK has a veto at this meeting so let's hope the British delegation (whose names are secret, as usual) grow some cojones and use it.