Wednesday, 8 May 2019

Liberal politician says something liberal, BBC shocked

From the BBC...

Norway's newly appointed health minister has caused controversy by saying people should be allowed to eat, smoke and drink "as much as they want".

How depressing that a simple assertion of liberalism should be seen as ‘controversial’, at least to the BBC. She’s a breath of fresh air. More politicians like this, please.

Sylvi Listhaug also said smokers were made to feel like pariahs.

This is inarguable. It is the inevitable consequence of ‘denormalisation’.

Mrs Listhaug is a member of the libertarian Progress Party. Wikipedia notes that:

The Progress Party is sometimes controversially described as populist, usually by its opponents...

And so the Beeb describes her as...

A populist politician with anti-immigration views...

The claim that she has ‘anti-immigration views’ seems to be inferred from the fact that she tightened up asylum law at the peak of the migrant crisis, a policy that was supported by most Norwegians.

So what has she said about lifestyle regulation?

"My starting point for this with public health is very simple. I do not plan to be the moral police, and will not tell people how to live their lives, but I intend to help people get information that forms the basis for making choices," she told Norwegian broadcaster NRK in an interview on Monday. 
 "People should be allowed to smoke, drink and eat as much red meat as much as they want. The authorities may like to inform, but people know pretty much what is healthy and what is not healthy, I think."

Yes, yes and yes.

Critics say she has little understanding of what public health is.

On the contrary, she seems to fully understand what a public health issue is. It is a health risk in the shared environment that can only be tackled by collective action. Insofar as drinking, eating and smoking are health risks, there are individual risks from personal behaviour and are no business of the state.

Let’s hope she holds her nerve.

UPDATE

 

Tuesday, 7 May 2019

The Scottish sockpuppet racket

Whenever the SNP proposes new restrictions on the food supply, you can rely on Obesity Action Scotland to (a) applaud it, and (b) call for the government to go further.

When the SNP took an interest in restricting price discounts on so-called 'junk food', Lorraine Tulloch, Obesity Action Scotland's programme lead, told the BBC that they should press ahead:

"We are calling for Scottish government to tackle these price promotions in their forthcoming diet and obesity strategy."

When the SNP investigated the possibility of banning so-called 'junk food' advertising, Obesity Action Scotland's programme lead was on hand to encourage them...

"It’s time for government to step up and take action...”

When the SNP proposed following Public Health England's lead by restricting the size of food products and introducing a calorie cap, Obesity Action Scotland produced some (dubious) research claiming that a portion of chips is 80 per cent larger than it was in 2002 and said...

"We are urging action to improve the out-of-home food environment to ensure people have access to smaller portions..."

All of these policies were included in the Scottish government's obesity strategy in 2018 and were warmly welcomed by Obesity Action Scotland who demanded immediate action and no compromises.

Lorraine Tulloch, who leads doctors’ campaign group Obesity Action Scotland, welcomed the publication, but warned it required action.

“If we want to ensure a healthier future for Scots we need the Scottish Government to implement the wide range of measures it is proposing,” she said.

“.. We must see urgent implementation of the proposals to restrict promotion, marketing and advertising of food and drink high in fat, sugar and salt."

Obesity Action Scotland's policy officer wrote an op-ed in the Scotsman applauding the idea of making food more expensive. Under the congratulatory, though ridiculous, headline 'SNP trying to stop Big Food manipulating us into obesity', she said...

The Scottish Government has now posed a question about whether we should make it easier for everyone to make the healthy choice. It’s the right thing to do.

There are countless other examples of this pressure group patting the SNP on the back while demanding 'bold' and 'tough' action.

But, as I mentioned in Still Hand In Glove?, Obesity Action Scotland is, to all intents and purposes, an arm of government. Founded in 2015, it is a classic sockpuppet pressure group. It has four members of staff and no grassroots. One of its main jobs is responding to public consultations. Its board is made up of serial tax-spongers, including Sheila Duffy from ASH Scotland and Peter Rice from the Scottish Health Action on Alcohol Problems, neither of whom have any obvious expertise in obesity research but a lot of expertise in lobbying.

It was always obvious that the group was set up with taxpayers' money, but we didn't know how much. Until now. Thanks to questions asked in parliament by the deputy leader of the Scottish Conservatives, Jackson Carlow, we can see that Obesity Action Scotland was wholly funded by the taxpayer in 2015/16 and 2016/17 with a grant of £150,000. It was almost entirely funded by the taxpayer in 2017/18. Its grant rose last year to £185,000 and it managed to find £35,000 from other sources.

 
That's £635,000 so far to act as cheerleaders for the government. As Andrew Doyle said on a recent Last Orders podcast, this is basically a racket.

Sunday, 5 May 2019

Forbes interview: the war on alcohol

I did an interview with Forbes' Joseph Micallef recently which went online this weekend. We discussed the growing war on alcohol and the emerging 'no safe level' narrative.

Fill yer boots.


Thursday, 2 May 2019

Childhood obesity - what actually works?

The European Congress on Obesity came to an end yesterday after managing to get at least 19 unpublished studies into the news. One hell of media operation.

To be fair, most of them were quite interesting and not as blatantly policy-oriented as usual. I look forward to them being published properly. Two of them particularly stood out.

First, there's this one...

Children who consume sugary soft drinks are not necessarily heavier than those who steer clear, new research suggests.

A study, presented at the European Congress on Obesity in Glasgow, found no direct link between the consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages and higher overall energy consumption in four- to 10-year-olds.

There were also no significant differences between the body mass indexes (BMI) of children who consumed sugary soft drinks and those who did not.

I believe this has been known for some time, but it is not mentioned by anti-sugar campaigners for obvious reasons.

“High intake of added sugars was not directly correlated with high energy consumption,” Ola Anabtawi, who led the research, said.

“Therefore, relying on a single-nutrient approach to tackling childhood obesity in the form of a soft drink tax might not be the most effective tactic.”

Now you tell us!

So what does work? That brings me to the second study (which was published last week):

Childhood obesity is a major problem. But now news has emerged that one city - Leeds - has been making some progress.

Figures presented to the European Congress on Obesity suggest Leeds has managed to reduce the number of children who are extremely overweight.

The data showed there had been a 6.4% fall in obesity rates over recent years.

Cool! And unusual. Very, very few places have seen a decline in childhood 'obesity'. So how did they do it? Did they ban 'junk food' advertising on public transport? Did they have a local sugar tax? A clampdown on takeaway shops?

The city council developed a child-obesity strategy a decade ago that made this age group a key priority.

Staff who work with pre-school children, including children's centres workers and health visitors, were trained to promote healthy eating.

And parenting classes encouraged healthy snacking, eating as a family and the importance of cooking nutritious meals from scratch.

The council has taken other steps too. There has been a big focus on getting children active through dance, while there has been an active local campaign to encourage families to reduce their sugar intake.

Parental responsibility and education! Why has nobody thought of this before?

Wednesday, 1 May 2019

Wine for Normal People

I was on the popular, US-based Wine For Normal People podcast recently. We mostly talked about the attempts by the neo-temperance lobby to dismiss the health benefits of moderate alcohol consumption and exaggerate the cancer risks in order to treat alcohol like tobacco.

You might enjoy it. There's only one way to find out.

Tuesday, 30 April 2019

The Nanny State of the Nation


The 2019 edition of the Nanny State Index was published today. You can visit the website and download the full 84 page publication.

The Index, which I compile, is the most detailed record of over-regulation in the fields of alcohol, e-cigarettes, food, soft drinks and tobacco in the EU. It uses nearly a thousand pieces of data from 35 categories to produce a score out of 100 for each member state.

Regular readers won't be surprised to hear that Britain is one of the worst nanny states in Europe and the Index proves it. It has slipped from second place to fourth, but only because a flurry of anti-vaping and anti-alcohol activity in Estonia and Lithuania has led to those countries leapfrogging us in the table. It is certainly not because of any liberalisation in the UK where a tax on sugary drinks and plain packaging for tobacco has been added to sky-high sin taxes since the last edition was published.

To be fair, there has been precious little liberalisation anywhere else either. Nine EU countries now have taxes on sugary and/or artificially sweetened soft drinks. Eleven countries have taxes on e-cigarette fluid, and fifteen have a total or near-total ban on e-cigarette advertising. Twenty countries have some legal restrictions on e-cigarette use, including fourteen where vaping is banned wherever smoking is banned.

There has been less movement in tobacco policy since the upheaval of the EU Tobacco Products Directive (which came into full effect in May 2017). Every country except Germany has a total or near-total ban on tobacco advertising and most countries have extensive smoking bans. Even the traditionally smoker-friendly Czech Republic has capitulated to the tobacco control lobby, introducing a full smoking ban in May 2017.

The big temperance victories have come in Lithuania - where all alcohol advertising is now banned and you have to be be twenty years old to buy a drink - and in Scotland where minimum pricing was brought in last year. Wales is expected to introduce a 50p minimum price in the autumn and Ireland may follow suit next year. The Irish also have a package of tobacco-style anti-alcohol policies to be getting on with, including a retail display ban, an extensive advertising ban, and cancer warnings on bottles.

Whether it is food, drink, vaping or smoking, the lifestyle regulators have the wind in their sails. Consumers have had so few reasons to celebrate in the last two years that I can quickly list them all:

After introducing a tax on wine for the first time in 2016, Greece’s supreme administrative court declared it unlawful in September 2018. It was repealed the following January.

In March 2018, the new Austrian government cancelled its predecessors plans to introduce a smoking ban.

The Slovakian government recently legalised domestic distilling, albeit with strict regulations.

In November 2018, the Italian government slashed the tax on e-cigarette fluid from €0.38 per ml to €0.08 per ml, thereby cutting the price of an average bottle of vape juice by €3.

Also in November 2018, the Danish government froze tobacco duty and lowered duty on beer and wine.

These isolated examples represent the sum total of victories against the nanny state juggernaut since 2017. In Britain, the only sliver of good news is that we continue to lead Europe in our evidence-based approach to e-cigarettes. While many countries have gold-plated the EU’s anti-vaping laws by taxing e-cigarette fluid and banning e-cigarette advertising, organisations like Public Health England have actively encouraged smokers to switch to them. It is no coincidence that Britain now has the second lowest smoking rate in the EU.

You might assume, if you are slightly credulous, that the countries which embrace nanny state policies most enthusiastically have the best health outcomes. They don't. The war on fun is all pain and no gain. As the graphs below show, the countries which regulate tobacco more heavily do not have lower rates of smoking, those which regulate alcohol more heavily do not have lower rates of drinking, and those with the highest scores in the Nanny State Index overall do not have longer life expectancies.


 

So here we have a set of policies that restrict freedom and make us poorer while failing to achieve their stated objective. It would be nice to think that British politicians view the UK’s high ranking in the Nanny State Index as a source of national shame. Alas, I suspect that most of them will merely be disappointed that we have dropped out of the top three.

It is all rather depressing. Even the traditionally tolerant Dutch are in the process of putting a raft of paternalistic policies through parliament. Influential interest groups funded by billionaire activists, including the EAT campaign and Bloomberg Philanthropies, are pushing to introduce tobacco-style regulation of food and soft drinks. The Baltic States have been encouraged by the EU's Health Commissioner to tax sugar. In Ireland there is talk of following up 2018’s Public Health (Alcohol) Act with a similar law to tackle food. In Britain there is talk of a ‘pudding tax’ to go alongside the clamp down on so-called 'junk food'. We can also expect a growing clamour for a meat tax in the years ahead.

We can't even blame the European Union for it. The EU has some petty and counterproductive policies on tobacco and e-cigarettes, but it cannot be held responsible for regressive taxation, draconian smoking bans and excessive regulation of alcohol and food, nor for most of the nanny state laws that affect anything else. The gulf between the most liberal country at the bottom of the Index (Germany) and the most heavy-handed country at the top (Finland) shows how much latitude member states have. Treating your citizens like children is, by and large, a domestic policy choice. So far, it has been a choice that British politicians, whatever colour their rosette, have been happy to make.

You can read my article about this in the Telegraph here (£).

Monday, 29 April 2019

Moving the goalposts for minimum pricing

Scotland's public health minister, Joe Fitzpatrick, has written about minimum pricing as its first anniversary approaches...


A year after Scotland made history we are a healthier country


The headline is untrue - or, at least, unproven - but, to be fair, he doesn't actually say that. He says:

A year on, minimum pricing is setting a new benchmark in creating the healthier and fairer Scotland we all want to see.

Which doesn't mean very much.

The article is only of interest as an exercise in expectation management. Fitzpatrick is preparing the public for the news that alcohol consumption rose in the first year of minimum pricing, as now seems very likely:

In June, we will see the first meaningful analysis of sales which will tell us the short-term effect on the volume of units sold. After 5 years there will be an overarching expert evaluation of the impacts of minimum pricing, and whether it has slowed the growth in alcohol consumption, or even helped reduce consumption in the long-term. 

Note how he is presenting a fall in alcohol consumption as a best case scenario - the icing on the cake if it happens. This is very different to the confident claims of a 3.5 per cent decline in the first year.

By presenting the policy as a way to slow down the growth in alcohol consumption, Fitzpatrick is moving the goalposts. He is also rewriting history. Alcohol consumption has not been growing. It is at a twenty year low.



In addition to lowering expectations of success, he is getting the Scottish public ready for the inevitable price rise - which the 'Liberal' Democrats are already demanding...

When we set the price at 50p we struck a balance between public health and social benefits, and intervention in the market. I believe it’s proportionate. This initiative is still in its infancy having been in place for just a year and as time goes on we’ll continue to keep the level it is set at under review to determine if an increase is necessary in the short-term.

And then we get the usual stuff about there being no 'magic bullet'. It's the same thing we heard after the sugar levy began, after plain packaging began and after ever other ineffective nanny state policy takes effect...

There is no magic bullet, no single action that will stop alcohol abuse. That’s why we’ve taken a range of action to reduce the availability, attractiveness and affordability of alcohol. 

No one thinks that there is one policy that will eradicate a complex problem, but, as with the sugar tax, we should be able to expect a noticeable improvement from a policy that costs us many millions of pounds. That doesn't seem to be happening and so the goalposts are being moved and all the grand promises are gradually being buried.

There was never any chance of minimum pricing being repealed. If it fails, its failure will be used as an excuse to raise the price and add a range of new taxes and bans to the mix.