Friday, 27 June 2025

Alcohol advertising ban on the way?

The government is reportedly looking at a ban on alcohol advertising, although on current trends it will probably do a U-turn on that too.

I wrote about it for The Critic and discussed the evidence for alcohol ad bans (there isn't much of it) with Reem at the IEA. I wrote about the evidence based two years ago in this report
 

It took Keir Starmer less than a year to dash what few hopes we had of him. There was talk of the Labour Party having more room to manoeuvre on public sector reform than the tentative Tories. It was assumed that the state of the public finances would leave the government with no choice but to tighten its belt. Withdrawing the Winter Fuel Allowance from wealthier pensioners was largely symbolic, but it showed that Sir Keir was prepared to take tough decisions. 

All that fell apart upon contact with the first set of local elections. What we have instead is yet more borrowing, much more spending, and the hope that the economy will somehow grow. It is Sunakism with a dash of socialist spite directed at farmers and private schools. 

Rishi Sunak left a bunch of displacement policies behind him and the new government has been dutifully pushing them through Parliament, but Starmer can’t rely on this stockpile for much longer. The Pet Abduction Act is already law. The Football Governance Bill has had its third reading. The Tobacco and Vapes Bill is in the House of Lords. There is a danger that the well of headline-grabbing policies that are cheap to implement but ultimately futile runs dry. 

And so Labour’s policy wonks have had a pow-wow and come up with the idea of banning alcohol advertising. What could be more Sunakian? According to the Telegraph, health officials are “exploring options for partial restrictions to bring [alcohol promotion] closer in line with advertising of unhealthy food”. It is rumoured that a ban of some sort will be part of Wes Streeting’s optimistically titled Ten Year Plan for the NHS next week. 

  




Thursday, 12 June 2025

European Commission comes after vapers again

A leaked document reveals that the European Commission has some dramatic plans for EU-wide taxes on vapes, heated tobacco and nicotine pouches. It predicts that its proposed vape tax of €3.60 per bottle will wipe out 40% of the market. They say that like it's a good thing. It's time to fight again.

I've written about it for The Critic... 
 

The idea that the Commission is driven by health concerns goes for a Burton when the report moves on to vapes, heated tobacco and nicotine pouches. It wants to tax all these too, even though various member states do not. The case for leaving them alone is simple: they are much less dangerous than cigarettes and if you tax them, fewer people will use them to give up smoking. 

On the other hand, governments lose tobacco duty revenue when people quit smoking and that is what really worries the European Commission. The leaked report openly states that one of its “specific objectives” is to “discourage tax induced substitution between different tobacco products and their substitutes”. This is an extraordinary admission. They know that price is one of the factors that leads people to switch from smoking to vaping and they think that this is a bad thing

The report proposes a minimum tax on vape juice of €3.60 per 10ml bottle. To put this in context, a bottle of e-cigarette fluid in the UK typically costs £2 or £3 and can sometimes be as cheap as £1. The Commission is proposing that the cost of vaping should at least double. It expects a €3.60 tax to reduce sales by 40 per cent which would be the ruin of many independent vape shops but a boon to the cigarette business.

 



Monday, 9 June 2025

We're doctors, we say what we want

Ian Gilmore has been mouthing off in the letters section of the Financial Times. I have written about it for The Critic...
 

Prof Ian Gilmore, who runs the neo-temperance pressure group the Alcohol Health Alliance, is cheesed off with the chief executive of the brewer Asahi for saying that while he is “absolutely not denying that there are risks” associated with drinking, there is also “lots of evidence” that moderate alcohol consumption can have health and wellbeing benefits. For this measured and inarguable contribution to an article about how the alcohol industry could be facing its “tobacco moment”, Prof Gilmore has accused him — not unpredictably — of using a “tactic” from Big Tobacco’s “playbook”:

As a biomedical scientist and liver specialist, I know of no credible, independent expert in the field who would support these statements of disinformation.

Really?! Not a single one? What about the countless epidemiologists who have identified clear reductions in heart disease, stroke and diabetes risk among moderate drinkers for decades in every corner of the world? What about the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine which confirmed last year, for the umpteenth time, that moderate drinking reduces the risk of premature mortality? What about Professor Sir Richard Doll, one of the legends of public health, who concluded in 2002 that “the inverse relationship between ischemic heart disease and the consumption of small or moderate amounts of alcohol is, for the most part, causal” and should “now be regarded as proved”? Hell, even the Chief Medical Officer’s cherry-picked panel of anti-alcohol academics who lowered the drinking guidelines in 2016 had to admit that there were some health benefits from moderate alcohol consumption. 

 



Friday, 6 June 2025

Snowdon on Fire at Will

I returned to the Spectator's Fire at Will podcast this week with Will Kingston, talking the nanny state. And you can hear more from Will on next week's episode of Last Orders if all goes to plan.

 



Monday, 2 June 2025

YouGov and outdoor smoking bans

Because of course they do. 

I've written about it for The Critic...
 

One of the worst things about campaign groups being funded by the government is that the campaigning never ends. Grassroots pressure groups eventually get tired or run out of money or decide that enough is enough. There comes a time when voluntary activists want to get back to their day job. For the state-funded lobbyist, however, activism is their day job and they must always find new dragons to slay. Combine this with the mentality of what C. S. Lewis called the omnipotent moral busybody and you have someone who will “torment us without end”.

The hateful and vindictive pressure group Action on Smoking and Health (ASH), which has relieved taxpayers of millions of pounds since its inception in 1971, is staffed by such people. At their request, the government is currently legislating for the gradual prohibition of tobacco, but ASH are not the types to let the grass grow under their feet. No sooner had politicians capitulated to their last unreasonable demand before they were back for more. 

When the French government announced a ban on outdoor smoking “where there are children” on Friday, ASH immediately commissioned a poll from YouGov to test the water in Britain. People who do YouGov polls seem to be a particularly joyless and intolerant bunch. In November 2022, when COVID-19 was a fading memory and Rishi Sunak was Prime Minister, 61 per cent of respondents to a YouGov poll wanted the government to force people to wear face masks on public transport and 20 per cent wanted to bring back the “rule of six”. Two-thirds of respondents to another YouGov poll said they preferred staying in to going out. Half of them want to ban vapes completely and a third of them are teetotallers, as compared to a fifth of the general public