Monday, 21 September 2026

Moral economics?

I have never been fond of the term “demerit good”. It bestows the objective language of the economist onto something that is fundamentally subjective. Alcohol is supposedly a demerit good because of its effect on health, which would be fine if moderate drinkers didn’t live longer than teetotalers and if health were the only thing that mattered, but it isn’t. No decent economist would be arrogant enough to tell someone that the risks of heavy drinking outweigh their enjoyment of getting drunk.

In 2007, Alvin Roth coined the term “repugnant transactions” to describe the exchange of controversial goods and services. I prefer this to the term “demerit good” because what people find repugnant varies in time and place and the word “repugnant” more accurately reflects the fact that this is really a question of personal taste and morality. Roth’s argument was that repugnance can be an unhelpful constraint on markets. Moral opposition to the sale of live organs, for example, costs lives.

Roth’s new book Moral Economics expands on this theme. Opposition to repugnant transactions is often difficult to justify in logical terms. California’s ban on horse meat – one of Roth’s favourite examples – applies only to horse meat sold for human consumption. It is not illegal to kill a horse for other purposes, nor is it illegal to turn a horse into pet food. It is only illegal to kill a horse “if that person knows or should have known that any part of that horse will be used for human consumption.” It is not a question of animal rights or food safety. The law reflects nothing more than an irrational disgust.

Moral objections are usually framed as consequentialist objections, but further probing often reveals these to be hollow. Those who favour laws against incest (of whom I am one, fwiw) on the grounds that it can lead to birth defects are generally not prepared to make exceptions for family members who use failsafe contraception. Those who support laws against tobacco on the grounds that smoking imposes a cost on the health service seldom change their minds when it is explained that the net cost is less than zero. Those who, like me, support the criminalisation of child pornography on the grounds that it fuels demand for the creation of more child pornography, and thus child abuse, remain deeply uneasy (at best) about such images being generated by CGI or AI.

We are not, therefore, talking about market transactions that necessarily create negative externalities. Activities such as prostitution and dwarf tossing are consensual and have no direct spillover effects onto others, but are nevertheless widely condemned.

 
Read the rest at Economic Affairs

 

 



Monday, 14 September 2026

School dinners: leave those kids alone

The government has announced some extraordinarily harsh restrictions on what kind of food can be sold in food. I've written about it for Spiked...
 

Pastries and croissants will no longer be permitted in breakfast clubs. Sausages and bacon are allowed, but only once a week. Fried eggs are banned completely. Only breakfast cereals that are very low in sugar can be served. Teacakes, crumpets and unsweetened pancakes can be served, but only twice a week. Porridge is permitted but only if it is ‘plain’ and ‘unflavoured’ – no sugar, honey, syrups or sweeteners are to be made available.

For lunch, kids can no longer be offered fried chips or any other deep-fried food. Processed meat and ‘foods containing pastry’ can only be served once a week. Meals containing cheese, such as lasagna, are limited to three portions a week. Lentils and chickpeas are to be compulsory at least once a week. No foods containing chocolate are permitted. ‘Sweetened desserts’ can only be served twice a week.

As for the tuck shop, the government has decreed that the ‘only permitted snacks are plain fruits, vegetables, savoury crackers, breadsticks, yoghurt / plant-based versions (as per the dairy food group) and houmous’. Nom, nom!

 
The rules are arbitrary, capricious and have very little scientific basis. The kids are going to hate it.
 

The new rules go far beyond ensuring that kids have a balanced diet and consume enough calories to get through the day. They are a grab bag of arbitrary prohibitions on random food products and compulsory targets that seem to have been devised by rolling dice. Their only redeeming feature is that they will save the taxpayer money if children decide to eat their breakfast at home and take a packed lunch with them to school.

This is why Jamie Oliver was so keen to ban packed lunches 20 years ago and it is why nanny statists have been echoing his demand ever since. Only last month, the cake-promoting anti-obesity campaigner Prue Leith said the quiet part out loud when she called for packed lunches to be banned because the government ‘can’t police’ what parents put in them. The constant expansion of breakfast clubs and ‘free’ school meals isn’t about preventing children from going hungry. It is about control. The state doesn’t trust parents to follow the latest food fad and it wants to overrule the preferences of not just the child, but also of the child’s family. 

 
Not coincidently, today also saw this announcement... 
 
Schools to police children’s lunch boxes 

Schools will be expected to tell parents what they can put in their children’s lunch boxes as part of Labour’s plans to promote healthier meals for pupils.

... From September next year, schools will have to publish their packed lunch policies online to “strengthen accountability and improve compliance”.

The DfE has also reiterated that teachers are encouraged to offer prizes or other incentives to pupils for bringing in a healthy lunch.

Schools will be expected to continue following guidance from 2019, which recommended restrictions on sugary and fatty foods.

 
The younger generation would be quite entitled to hate us.


The rise of command capitalism

I've got a new paper out with the IEA about a growing trend in the British economy: command capitalism.

 

Download it for free.



Friday, 11 September 2026

The nanny state newsletter

I've started doing a nanny state newsletter for my Substack subscribers (free). There's no particular schedule but they've been coming out every two weeks so far. If you don't subscribe, head on over and sign up. Here's a sample...

 

Belgium’s slippery slope

The Belgian government passed a law in May to put warnings on alcohol advertisements saying ‘Alcohol is harmful to health’. Not ‘Alcohol can be harmful to health’ or ‘Excessive drinking is harmful to health’, but ‘Alcohol is harmful to health’.

Belgian Brewers, a trade association, has now published an open letter with more than 1,000 signatures opposing the measure. The Flemish Centre of Expertise on Alcohol and Other Drugs has been lobbying for the new warnings (the phrase ‘alcohol and other drugs’ is a massive red flag for prohibitionism). Its director, Kathleen Peleman, said:

“The core of this message is that alcohol is damaging to your health,” Peleman adds. “Not just for the small group that struggles with addiction, but for everyone who drinks.”

That is indeed the message and it is clearly untrue. The anti-alcohol lobby are copying the anti-tobacco blueprint again. They want to portray alcohol as harmful at any level. That is why activist-academics such as Tim Stockwell devote to much energy to torturing the evidence to erase the health benefits of moderate drinking. This is not an arcane academic dispute. ‘No safe level’ is a crucial rhetorical device for taking alcohol down tobacco road.

The government wants to force the Belgian booze industry to put information on their adverts that is misleading at best and a lie at worst. It will not end there. The industry should take legal action before this gets out of hand.

HMRC tries to get real

HMRC is finally trying to do something about its hopeless estimates of the size of the illicit tobacco market. The title of a document that has not yet been made public - The Tobacco Tax Gap: Improving Tax Gap Statistics Through Wastewater Analysis - indicates that it intends to follow Australia’s lead and look for nicotine in sewage. When the Australian Bureau for Statistics did this, it estimated that 80% of tobacco sold Down Under was illicit. In the House of Commons, the health minister James Murray was asked how the study will differentiate nicotine from tobacco and nicotine from vapes (or pouches or heated tobacco or patches, etc.). He replied:

The methodology will distinguish between tobacco and nicotine consumption by analysing different chemical metabolites present in wastewater samples.

Specifically, tobacco consumption will be measured using the metabolites anabasine and anatabine, while nicotine consumption will be measured using cotinine and its metabolite 3-hydroxycotinine.

It’s a nice methodology. Meanwhile, the Co-op supermarket - which is losing out to the illicit trade - has found that 36 per cent of UK smokers have bought illicit cigarettes, rising to 49 per cent among those aged 35-44. Time is running out for the black market deniers.

 



Thursday, 3 September 2026

The tyranny of surveys

There are supposedly 80,000 child gambling "addicts" in the UK. This is based on a tiny proportion of school kids self-reporting their behaviour. As I explain in The Critic, it is very likely that many of them are lying or don't understand the questions...
 

In the most recent edition of the YPGS, 44 young people out of the 3,666 surveyed were considered to be problem gamblers, which is not the same thing as being an “addict” but involves gamblers reporting such symptoms as chasing losses and often thinking about gambling. 

How seriously can we take the responses of those 44 people? The gambling expert Dan Waugh recently looked under the bonnet of the last three editions of the survey, which yielded 125 “problem gamblers” out of 10,985 participants and noticed some curious findings.

Most striking were the six kids who claimed to have gambled in every conceivable way in the last week, including visiting casinos, visiting seaside amusement arcades, playing bingo online, playing bingo in a licensed bingo clubs, gambling on machines in a licensed betting shop, betting on e-sports and gambling in an online casino. One of them was only twelve years old. 

This seems unlikely, to put it mildly. In total, 31 of the supposed problem gamblers claimed to have gambled in a bricks-and-mortar casino in the past week. While it is not impossible for an older teenager to fool a doorman with a fake ID, most of these kids were aged between 12 and 15. If you take the YPGS seriously, more 12 year olds have gambled in a casino in the last week than 17 year olds. One 13 year old claimed that they did not engage in any gambling activities that are legal for children, such as seaside arcades or having private bets with friends, and only gambled in licensed bookmakers, in online casinos and in actual casinos, all of which he or she had done in the last week.
 

 



Friday, 28 August 2026

Bootlicking gimps

As laws become more preposterous and governments intrude ever further into the private lives of individuals, you might expect the public to revolt. Instead, the growing state has given rise to a strange breed of bootlicking gimps who go out of their way to bat for the government.

The journalist Tom Harwood was in Washington D.C. this week and tweeted a video of himself unscrewing the cap from a bottle of Coke with the caption “Sweet land of liberty”. The point was that he was able to fully remove the plastic cap without violently twisting and tugging its tether — a freedom that has been denied to residents of the EU since 2024 thanks to Article 6 of the Single-Use Plastics Directive. 

The bottle-top law has been a gift to eurosceptics. It epitomises the over-reach of pettifogging bureaucrats, the malign influence of fanatical NGOs and the apparently limitless ambitions of the “European project” to involve itself in every aspect of people’s lives. It is annoying and yet futile, a pointless irritation, and a daily reminder of the EU’s preference for regulation over innovation, but that didn’t stop the bootlicking gimps from crawling out from under their rocks to shoot the messenger. The law was intended to stop people throwing their bottle caps in the ocean, but almost none of the EU’s apologists defended it on environmental grounds. There was some whataboutery (“The USA doesn’t have universal healthcare”) and there was a novel cope about the supposed inconvenience of having to hold a bottle cap in the opposing hand, but mostly they complained about Harwood having the nerve to complain. “You know you can just tear the attached caps off with very little force if you want to, right?”, said one. “You do know that if you have the strength greater than a 5 year old girl, that you can just remove the attached cap, right?”, said another. 

There was a great deal of this kind of chat, along with the usual “Is this really the hill you want to die on?” straw men. The government’s sycophants are always keen to remind you that there are worse things happening in the world and, by implication, that if you aren’t tweeting about the worst thing in the world, you shouldn’t be tweeting at all. It seems to escape them that they are tweeting about a petty irritation themselves and that their energy is being more thoroughly wasted because they are wrong.

 
Read the rest at The Critic


Tuesday, 18 August 2026

That national alert

The government sent a noisy alert to every mobile phone in Britain on Friday to tell us not to light a barbecue. I have written about it for Spiked...
 

The nauseating thing about the national alert was how many bootlicking gimps came out in support of it. It’s just another text message, they said. You probably get notifications all the time, they said. True, but they are notifications from people I want to hear from and they don’t have the audacity to override the mute button. I don’t want to hear from the government on a sunny Friday evening. I don’t even want to be reminded of its existence. In the immortal words of Javier Milei, my contempt for the state is infinite. National alerts are another encroachment into our lives from a state that has already encroached too much.